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Tuesday 22

May, 2012 5:56 AM

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Broker buys & upgrades

Broker buys & upgrades

By Staff Journalist 04.02.2012


 

Price target increased

Ausenco (AAX)

CHART

Chart: Share price over the year to versus ASX200 (XJO)

 

Share Price: $3.06

Price target: $3.65

Broker Calls: Buy - Deutsch

P/E: 16.6

Market Cap: $376 million

Ausenco's most recent price spike warrants attention, on top of Deutsche Bank's new target price on the stock, up from $2.70 to $3.65.

Ausenco employs around 2300 people in 20 countries, offering services to the energy, minerals and metals sectors. The company's fortune rides on the continuation of the mining and resources boom.

Ausenco just acquired 100% of Canadian-based engineering services provider, Reaction Consulting, for $3.8 million - funded from the company's cash reserves. Reaction Consulting is a player in the bitumen and oil sands sector in Calgary. The purchase, which is forecast to earn between $5 and $7 million, gives Ausenco exposure to the oil sands market in North America.

The group has also won a $125 million contact to expand the existing ore crushing and processing plant of Barrick Gold's Lumwana copper project.

Due to its steady flow of contact wins, Deutsche has greater confidence in its forecasts. Around 75% of projected contract revenue has already been contracted for the year - giving the group some stability of income.

UBS, however, has its doubts. It argues that the recent share price run has overshot and that the stock is now looking pricey. Indeed, Ausenco's P/E at 16.6 is signficantly higher than the market, at 12.5, and the sector average, at 11.5. Investors must decide whether Ausenco's future earnings growth warrants a higher premium or not. According to Deutsche, it does, but UBS isn't so sure.

 

Upgrades & Buys

News Corporation (NWS)

CHART

Chart: Share price over the year versus ASX200 (XJO)

 

Share Price: $19.61

Broker Calls: Buy - RBS

P/E: 19.24

Market Cap: $49 billion

Long-term shareholders in News Corporation have been rewarded by share price growth of roughly 640% since the late 1980s. Over the last five years, however, the share price has retreated by 22% courtesy of the dislocation caused by the growth of online advertising (the likes of Google eating into revenue), as well as internal dramas such as the notorious phone backing scandal.

The tough times could be coming to an end as represented by News Corp's six month price chart, up an impressive 22%. Most brokers are backing the stock with Buys, with price targets over $20 a share. RBS sees plenty of positives in 2012 that should support share price momentum. Further share buybacks would also support the share price.

The battle for internet TV is an area to watch with News Corp's British Sky Broadcasting launching a new internet TV service this year. The service will allow anyone in the UK with broadband access to watch content on a monthly or pay as you go basis. The new service is expected to cover the slowdown in subscriber numbers to Sky's traditional pay TV service. It means that users can watch Sky content, such as Sky Movies, without signing up to a contract. For example, customers can rent one-off films. Most analysts argue that this model will attract a market segment that have traditionally spurned Pay TV.

Sky is also launching a fibre broadband service in April this year. Deutche notes that fibre should provide better margins than existing broadband.

 

Please note that TheBull.com.au simply publishes broker recommendations on this page. The publication of these recommendations does not in any way constitute a recommendation on the part of TheBull.com.au. You should seek professional advice before making any investment decisions.

 



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WHAT’S ON THIS WEEK

week 25 May 2012
    • 21
    • FLS Fluorotechnics Ltd general meeting | 11:55 PM
    • MSI Multistack International Ltd annual general meeting | 11:56 PM
    • ELD Elders Ltd first half results | 11:58 PM
    • CBA Commonwealth Bank business sales indicator for April | 11:59 PM
    • 22
    • COM Com Ops Ltd annual general meeting | 2:23 AM
    • PGS Planet Gas Ltd annual general meeting | 2:24 AM
    • IPP iProperty Group Ltd annual general meeting | 2:24 AM
    • CCQ Contango Capital Partners Ltd general meeting | 2:25 AM
    • MLB Melbourne IT Ltd annual general meeting | 2:25 AM
    • Australian Office of Financial Management Australian Office of Financial Management to issue between $100 million and $150 million of September 2030 Treasury Indexed Bonds | 11:56 PM
    • Resources Conference Inaugural Paydirt Latin America Down Under resources conference (day 1 of 2) | 11:57 PM
    • Economic Development Forum 2012 Committee for Economic Development of Australia Queensland Economic Development Forum 2012 | 11:57 PM
    • Infrastructure Australia Rod Eddington and chairman of Infrastructure Partnerships Australia Mark Birrell To address Australian British Chamber of Commerce luncheon on \"The Future of Infrastructure in Australia: Keys to productivity and growth\" | 11:57 PM
    • LEI Leighton Holdings Ltd annual general meeting | 11:58 PM
    • TGA Thorn Group full year results | 11:58 PM
    • 23
    • MYR Myer Ltd Q3 sales result | 2:11 AM
    • WBC Westpac-Melbourne Institute Leading Indexes of Economic Activity | 2:11 AM
    • Resources Conference Inaugural Paydirt Latin America DownUnder resources conference (day 2 of 2) | 2:12 AM
    • PSA Petsec Energy Ltd annual general meeting | 2:12 AM
    • MOL Moly Mines Ltd annual general meeting | 2:13 AM
    • TAP Tap Oil Ltd annual general meeting | 2:13 AM
    • ILU Iluka Resources Ltd annual general meeting | 2:13 AM
    • ALK Alkane Resources Ltd annual general meeting | 2:25 AM
    • RCT Reef Casino Trust annual general meeting | 2:26 AM
    • PYM Pryme Energy Ltd annual general meeting | 2:26 AM
    • MES Mesbon China Nylon Ltd annual general meeting | 2:26 AM
    • 24
    • VAH Virgin Holdings Australia chief executive John Borghetti to address Committee for Economic Development of Australia CEO Vision Series luncheon | 2:14 AM
    • GBZ GBM Resources Ltd general meeting | 2:15 AM
    • EPY e-pay Asia Ltd annual general meeting | 2:15 AM
    • ATV Atlantic Gold NL annual general meeting | 2:15 AM
    • VII Vietnam Industrial Investments VII annual general meeting | 2:16 AM
    • SAV Savcor Group Ltd annual general meeting | 2:16 AM
    • CNK Condor Metals Ltd general meeting | 11:54 PM
    • 25

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Featured Comment

The broker is particularly bearish, forecasting the mining boom is drawing to a close on the back of thinner export margins.

The Mining Boom Is Over, Say Brokers. So Where Next?

Broker buys

  • ASX Code
  • Company
  • Broker
  • BXBBramblesOrd Minnett
  • STOSantosOrd Minnett
  • AGIAinsworthHalifax
  • TPMTPG TelecomHalifax
  • STOSantosPatersons
  • AACAustralian AgriculturalPatersons

Broker sells

  • ASX Code
  • Company
  • Broker
  • ORIOricaOrd Minnett
  • JBHJB Hi-FiOrd Minnett
  • RIORio TintoHalifax
  • FMGFortescueHalifax
  • RMDResMedPatersons
  • AQPAquarius PlatinumPatersons

Central Banks Rates

  • RBA3.75%
  • FED0.25%
  • BOE0.50%
  • BOC1.00%
  • RBNZ2.50%
  • ECB1.00%
  • SNB0.00%
  • BOJ0.10%

Recent Floats

  • ASX Code
  • Name & Issue Price
  • Day 1 Gain/Loss
  • EUMEumeralla Res Ltd, $0.20-100%
  • MEHMerah Res Ltd, $0.20-100%
  • AJQArmour Energy, $0.50-12%
  • BRBBreaker Res NL, $0.20+5%
  • GRXGoodrich, $0.20+12.5%
  • HFRHighfield, $0.20+50%
  • TARTaruga, $0.200%
  • CHKCohiba, $0.20+10%
  • BLABlue Sky Investments, $1.00+5%
  • SNYSunbird Energy, $0.20+20%

Upcoming dividends

  • ASX Code
  • Company, Div., Franking
  • Ex-Div.
  • DLXDuluxGroup Ltd, 7.5c, 100%21/5/12
  • SPNSP AusNet, 4c, 33.3%24/5/12
  • ANZPBAus & New Zealand, 122.8c, 100%24/5/12
  • ANZPAAus & New Zealand, 133.39c, 100%24/5/12
  • PPKPPK Group Limited, 1c, 0%25/5/12
  • ORIOrica Limited, 38c, 36.85%28/5/12
  • SBKPBSuncorp-Metway, 135.5c, 100%29/5/12
  • NABNational Aus Bank, 90c, 100%31/5/12
  • KMDKathmandu Hld, 2.3359c, 100%04/6/12
  • CSRCSR Limited, 7c, 100%07/6/12

Eight brokers like these stocks

  • ASX Code
  • Company Name
  • Consensus Target
  • RIORio Tinto Limited$95.375
  • ORGOrigin Energy Ltd$17.273
  • OSHOil Search Limited$8.723
  • STOSantos Limited$17.396
  • BLYBoart Longyear$4.716

Upcoming Floats

  • ASX Code
  • Company Name
  • Float Date
  • GMYGoldfields Credit Union21/5/12
  • GOSGossan Hill Au21/5/12
  • ESREstrella Res Ltd22/5/12
  • BNXBannon Limited23/5/12
  • AYCA1 Con Au Ltd31/5/12
  • NWFNewfield Res Ltd14/6/12
  • SWISwift Res Ltd19/6/12
  • RCCRed Cat Minerals29/6/12

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