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Friday 19

April, 2019 1:08 AM



Nickel falls amid concerns on Vale supply

Nickel falls amid concerns on Vale supply

Nickel prices are down as analysts suggest the metal's gains following the Vale disaster are exaggerated.

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By AAP 06.02.2019 07:54 AM

Nickel prices fell overnight as traders took profits after betting the metal up to four-month highs in the previous session on concerns that Brazilian miner Vale could be forced to curtail supply.

Nickel surged 5 per cent on Monday after a Brazilian state court ordered Vale to stop using eight tailings dams following a disaster last month that probably killed more than 300 people.

The order will hit nine per cent of Vale's iron ore production but analysts say the company's nickel output should emerge unscathed.

"We don't find it credible. (Vale) do have one asset in Brazil but most of their nickel assets are outside the country and the process of (producing) nickel versus iron ore is not similar," said Vivienne Lloyd, an analyst at Macquarie.

Benchmark London Metal Exchange (LME) nickel closed down 1.7 per cent in official midday rings at $US13,040 a tonne, having hit $US13,265, not far off Monday's four-month peak at $US13,275.

Nickel on Monday broke through the 200-day moving average, sparking technical follow-up buying.

LME data shows one firm holding a large short or sell position, while another holds between 50-80 per cent of cash contracts and warrants, indicating the firm that is short might get squeezed.

"Nickel stocks are continuing to decline in the LME's warehouses, yet this is nothing new. Nickel production is likely to be expanded considerably this year. We see no justification for the (price) surge," said Commerzbank in a note.

Copper, zinc and lead all hit multi-month highs before retreating, with copper reaching a two-month high, zinc a seven-month high and lead a six-month peak.

Miners and banks helped world stocks extend their white-hot start to the year, while the US dollar was straining for a fourth day of gains as traders waited for US President Donald Trump's State of the Union address.

US President Donald Trump said last week he would meet Chinese President Xi Jinping soon to try to seal a comprehensive trade deal as Trump and his trade negotiator both cited substantial progress in two days of talks.

Copper ended up 1 per cent at $US6,231, aluminium ended up 0.2 per cent at $US1,922, zinc closed down 2.1 per cent at $US2,741, lead closed down 1.2 per cent at $US2,102 while tin closed up 0.2 per cent at $US20,850.

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